Analyse UGM Fx ...

Publié le 26 octobre 2006 par Larrymax

Bonjour,
voici la première analyse délivrée par UGM pour le Blog.
Cett analyse sera publié deux fois par semaine le mercredi et le vendredi.
UGM est un broker US qui offre un service, à mon avis très adapté pour demarrer dans le forex avec toutes les garanties dont on a besoin, certifié par NFA et CFTC.
C'est pour cela, que j'ai accepté ce partenariat après avoir été contacté par leur équipe francophone et sympa et avoir testé leur plateforme.
Je ferai un point sur eux très prochainement. Si toutefois certains sont intéressés, contactez moi.

EUR: Over the past two days we have witnessed a rise in the Euro vs. the USD. German, French and
Italian measures of business confidence all came in firmer than expected today, further building market
expectations for an ECB rate hike at the end of the year and in Q1 of 2007. We’ll be watching for the
ECB’s President Trichet to speak tomorrow (10/26) about the 2005 Annual Report at the plenary session
of the European Parliament.

USD: Today the long awaited FOMC rate announcement fell-inline with expectations. On this move
however, the devil was in the details. We believe the market moved on one statement: “Inflation
pressures likely to moderate”, as USD weakened slightly. For the rest of the week we’ll be watching
Jobless Claims (10/26), New Home Sales (10/26), GDP & UoM Confidence on Friday (10/27) to validate
the feds dovish comments.

GBP: Sterling was only marginally affected by recent hawkish comments by the BoE Chief Economist as
a November move is already priced into the market. In the lack of data over the next few days we’ll be
trading sterling off of other currencies.

YEN: The Japanese trade surplus unexpectedly increased by 6.9% YoY vs. a -10% expected. We’ll be
watching for Core CPI YoY to be released early Friday (10/27) morning.
CAD: The looney strengthened considerable early this afternoon in tandem with increasing oil prices.
The move was further strengthened by a weaker USD. We will continue to watch the price of oil as an
impetus to trade this currency.

Bons trades à tous

Larry